Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Market Update and Daily Timing

After chopping around much of the day, markets sold off into the close yesterday, but all indices remain in the recovery phase.  While there does not appear to be any strong buying activity, selling momentum is also weak.  The following economic reports are due out today:

8:30 AM Core CPI
8:30 AM CPI
8:30 AM Empire Manufacturing
9:00 AM Net Long-Term TIC Flows
9:15 AM Capacity Utilization
9:15 AM Industrial Production
10:30 AM Crude Inventories
2:00 PM Fed's Beige Book

Today's US CPI could be the driver for market direction today, given how yesterday's soft PPI and retail results turned out to be negative for stocks, interrupting the optimistic sentiment that had been initiated on Monday. 

China has just announced details of a plan for the electronics sector. Beijing hopes the sector will contribute to economic growth and looks to add 1.5 million jobs over the next 3 years. There has been speculation that China would announce a fresh stimulus package on top of the already Yuan 4 trillion committed in November, which would be aimed at boosting consumption.

Oil continues in its sideways trend in a wide channel from about $47 up to $53.  Gold and silver are both up this morning, but remain in a sideways trend.

 As of this writing, futures are slightly negative and the DAX is negative, indicating a negative open.    The market condition scans and the market bias indicators are both showing neutral signals indicating once again a choppy indecisive market that remains in a bottoming condition.

Index

Change

%Change

Level

Phase

TSX

-54.00

-0.58%

9231.62

Recovery

DJIA

-137.63

-1.71%

7920.18

Recovery

Nasdaq

-27.59

-1.67%

1625.72

Recovery

SP 500

-17.23

-2.01%

841.50

Recovery

Russell 2000

-14.83

-3.17%

453.22

Recovery

NYSE

-108.78

-2.01%

5301.50

Recovery

Source: Telechart

Short Term market outlook:

Bias: Scans showing a neutral bias

Energy: moderate

 Primary Trend: Remains down to sideways

Sector

Phase

Consumer Staples

Bearish

Healthcare

Bearish

Technology

Recovery

Utilities

Bearish

Energy

Bearish

Financials

Recovery

Industrials

Bearish

Materials

Recovery

Consumer Discretionary

Recovery

Source: Telechart 

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