Sunday, March 22, 2009

What to Expect Monday...

It looks like we are back to the weak insipid choppy market conditions as we continue to work out a bottom.  On Friday markets continued the pullback that began on Thursday and the 50 day moving average proved to be resistance for the majority of the indexes.  The Obama Administration will be announcing its plans for dealing with the toxic assets on the bank balance sheets.  The hope is, this will resolve the issue enough to loosen up the tight credit markets and gets money flowing.  According to the Wall Street Journal, Suncor (SU) and PetroCanada will be merging.  That should lead to some sort of market reaction.  After a couple of days of improving institutional numbers, it looks like the institutions are back on the sidelines in anticipation of more news.

As of this writing, futures are positive and the DAX is positive, indicating a positive open.  The market condition scans are showing no strong bias.  The market bias indicators are showing a more bullish bias.  Given this, expect another choppy volatile day. 

Index

Change

%Change

Level

Phase

TSX

-184.14

-2.12%

8506.35

Recovery

DJIA

-122.42

-1.65%

7278.38

Bearish

Nasdaq

-26.21

-1.77%

1457.27

Recovery

SP 500

-15.50

-1.98%

768.54

Bearish

Russell 2000

-13.02

-3.15%

400.11

Bearish

NYSE

-105.08

-2.13%

4832.14

Bearish

Source: Telechart

Short Term market outlook:

Bias: Scans showing a neutral bias

Energy: Weak

Primary Trend: Remains down

Sector


Phase

Consumer Staples

Bearish

Healthcare

Bearish

Technology

Recovery

Utilities

Bearish

Energy

Recovery

Financials

Bearish

Industrials

Bearish

Materials

Recovery

Consumer Discretionary

Recovery

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