Wednesday, May 6, 2009

ADP Jobs Report Surprises to the Upside

The ADP Jobs report which is a precursor to the more detailed Employment reports to come out on Friday, reported better than expected numbers, which has lifted markets this morning.  Rumours regarding the US Bank stress tests continue to abound.  Most of the speculation appears to be that the banks are in poor shape and may need more capitalization, which negatively impacts market sentiment.  The Nasdaq has now been positive for nine weeks which is statistically unusual.  Given this, it would not be a surprise to see reversion to mean to kick in and see a pullback.  However, so far, the rally appears to be intact. 

As of this writing, futures are positive and the DAX is positive, indicating a positive open.   The market bias indicators are showing a bearish bent.  The market condition scans remain neutral but continue to show improvement in the institutional scans and RSI scans.

Index

Change

%Change

Level

Phase

TSX

+10.35

+0.10%

9880.72

Recovery

DJIA

-16.09

-0.19%

8410.65

Recovery

Nasdaq

-9.44

-0.54%

1754.12

Recovery

SP 500

-3.44

-0.38%

903.80

Recovery

Russell 2000

-4.27

-0.84%

502.55

Recovery

NYSE

-29.46

-0.51%

5770.76

Recovery

Source: Telechart

Short Term market outlook:

Bias: Scans showing a neutral bias

Energy: moderate

 Primary Trend: Remains down to sideways

Sector

Phase

Consumer Staples

Recovery

Healthcare

Recovery

Technology

Recovery

Utilities

Recovery

Energy

Recovery

Financials

Recovery

Industrials

Recovery

Materials

Recovery

Consumer Discretionary

Recovery

Source: Telechart 

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