Friday, June 5, 2009

Jobs Report Not as Bad as Expected

The Jobs reports came out this morning and not only were last month’s numbers revised upwards, the non-farm numbers came in much lower than expected in terms of job losses.  U.S. non-farm payrolls fell by 345K versus the expectation of -520K.  The improvement did not come due to government hiring.  The improvement came because the private sector is slowing the pace of job destruction.  U.S. unemployment is now at 9.4%.  Canada on the other hand, lost more jobs than expected at -41.8K versus the expected -36.5K.    The Canadian jobless rate is now at 8.4%.  Gold and silver have dropped this morning and the price of oil is hovering around $68. 

As I mentioned before, it appears we are entering a period of random price movement.  On Wednesday, the markets had a strong sell-off only to recover substantially on Thursday.  Today, it will be interesting to see if the jobs surprise will be the catalyst for a positive day.

Futures this morning are positive and the DAX is positive, indicating a positive open.  The market condition scans are positive indicating no weak upward directional bias.  The market bias indicators remain neutral.

Index

Change

%Change

Level

Phase

TSX

+187.12

+1.82%

10477.24

Bullish

DJIA

+74.96

+0.86%

8750.24

Recovery

Nasdaq

+24.10

+1.32%

1850.02

Bullish

SP 500

+10.70

+1.15%

942.46

Accumulation

Russell 2000

+8.97

+1.72%

531.68

Accumulation

NYSE

+76.86

+1.27%

6110.76

Accumulation

Source: Telechart

Short Term market outlook:

Bias: Scans showing a positive bias

Energy: weak

 Primary Trend: sideways

Sector

Phase

Consumer Staples

Recovery

Healthcare

Recovery

Technology

Bullish

Utilities

Recovery

Energy

Accumulation

Financials

Recovery

Industrials

Recovery

Materials

Recovery

Consumer Discretionary

Recovery

Source: Telechart 

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