Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Oil Continues to Rise on US Dollar Weakness

This morning the price of oil is over $71 per barrel. According to some analysts, the primary driver appears to be the weakness of the US Dollar and concerns over inflation. The US Department of Energy releases oil inventory data at 10:30 am this morning. The market indices were essentially flat as a pancake yesterday, ending with little change.

A factor that is impacting the positive sentiment maybe that investors believe that the worst is over. Many US banks are strong enough to pay the TARP money back. Many economic reports are showing numbers that are better than expected. The caveat to the economic numbers is that they are not really improving, but rather, not getting worse. The Canadian banks have notched a rare victory against the powerful insurance broker lobby, and will now be allowed to market and sell insurance via their websites.

Futures this morning are positive and the DAX is positive, indicating a positive open. The market bias indicators remain neutral and the market condition scans are a weak bias to the upside. This indicates once again choppy random movement.

Index

Change

%Change

Level

Phase

TSX

-1.26

-0.01%

10547.86

Bullish

DJIA

-1.43

-0.02%

8763.06

Recovery

Nasdaq

+17.73

+0.96%

1860.13

Bullish

SP 500

+3.29

+0.35%

942.43

Accumulation

Russell 2000

+3.14

+0.60%

527.93

Accumulation

NYSE

+33.01

+0.54%

6101.57

Accumulation

Source: Telechart

Short Term market outlook:

Bias: Scans showing a neutral to positive bias

Energy: weak

Primary Trend: sideways

Sector

Phase

Consumer Staples

Recovery

Healthcare

Recovery

Technology

Bullish

Utilities

Recovery

Energy

Accumulation

Financials

Recovery

Industrials

Recovery

Materials

Recovery

Consumer Discretionary

Recovery

Source: Telechart

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