Friday, October 9, 2009

Canadian Jobs Surprise Upwards Significantly and US Trade Deficit Shows Surprise Drop

The improving economic data continues to provide more evidence that the economic stimulus appears to be working.  The question now becomes, when we can expect inflation and the central banks to raise interest rates.  The better than expected US trade deficit will likely boost the US dollar today and may negate the positive impact of the Canadian job numbers on the Canadian market.  Also, the Canadian trade deficit has widened as we are importing more than we are exporting. 
The market bias numbers are showing a stronger statistical bias for a pullback.  The futures and the DAX this morning are pointing to a down open.  The market condition scans continue to show a positive bias and increasing institutional participation.  The pattern over the last little while is to see profit-taking into a weekend.  We will likely see that today as we are going into long weekend for Canada’s Thanksgiving holiday. 
Index
Change
%Change
Level
Phase
TSX
+134.63
+1.19%
11484.51
Bullish
DJIA
+61.29
+0.63%
9786.87
Bullish
Nasdaq
+13.60
+0.64%
2123.93
Bullish
SP 500
+7.90
+0.75%
1065.48
Bullish
Russell 2000
+5.67
+0.94%
607.75
Bullish
NYSE
+78.02
+1.13%
6990.67
Bullish
Source: Telechart
Short Term market outlook:
Bias: Scans showing a positive bias
Energy: moderate
 Primary Trend: sideways to up
Sector
Phase
Consumer Staples
Bullish
Healthcare
Bullish
Technology
Bullish
Utilities
Bullish
Energy
Bullish
Financials
Bullish
Industrials
Bullish
Materials
Bullish
Consumer Discretionary
Bullish
Source: Telechart 

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